Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.061019 0.072004 0.084300 0.099068 0.116314 0.135803 0.159488
2025-06-08 0.043204 0.057111 0.074418 0.097483 0.127359 0.164692 0.214827
2025-06-15 0.034338 0.049571 0.070146 0.099842 0.141470 0.197597 0.278854
2025-06-22 0.027462 0.042679 0.064687 0.098626 0.149409 0.222289 0.334480
2025-06-29 0.022242 0.036881 0.059355 0.096074 0.154212 0.242266 0.385163
2025-07-06 0.018213 0.032024 0.054403 0.092914 0.157060 0.258994 0.432362
2025-07-13 0.016036 0.029724 0.053005 0.094973 0.168103 0.289376 0.504383
2025-07-20 0.014043 0.027350 0.051030 0.095606 0.176607 0.316337 0.573752
2025-07-27 0.012418 0.025337 0.049323 0.096342 0.185185 0.344170 0.647655
2025-08-03 0.011143 0.023755 0.048129 0.097756 0.195024 0.375147 0.730555
2025-08-10 0.010239 0.022750 0.047852 0.100816 0.208234 0.413601 0.831488
2025-08-17 0.008815 0.020419 0.044596 0.097467 0.208424 0.427418 0.886901
2025-08-24 0.007854 0.018953 0.042949 0.097289 0.215192 0.455209 0.974002
2025-08-31 0.006923 0.017397 0.040883 0.095931 0.219346 0.478321 1.054613
2025-09-07 0.006391 0.016677 0.040541 0.098295 0.231771 0.519825 1.178282
2025-09-14 0.005685 0.015410 0.038759 0.097106 0.236110 0.544608 1.268914
2025-09-21 0.004994 0.014055 0.036557 0.094593 0.237043 0.561983 1.345127
2025-09-28 0.004362 0.012742 0.034253 0.091481 0.236111 0.574985 1.412830
2025-10-05 0.004064 0.012281 0.034020 0.093509 0.247892 0.618505 1.556214
2025-10-12 0.003731 0.011662 0.033284 0.094133 0.256243 0.654847 1.686602
2025-10-19 0.003437 0.011102 0.032623 0.094858 0.264937 0.692967 1.825566
2025-10-26 0.003198 0.010664 0.032229 0.096251 0.275565 0.737031 1.984209
2025-11-02 0.003036 0.010439 0.032404 0.099266 0.290943 0.794774 2.183962